Draw odds with pity
Echocalypse: Scarlet Covenant draw calculator
A Case draw pull is a UR+ Case 1.5% of the time. From the 2nd pull without one, every pull adds 0.01%, from the 32nd pull without one, every pull adds 0.3%, from the 42nd pull without one, every pull adds 1%, and the 51st is always a UR+ Case.
Your odds
- Pulls
- 20
- Chance of a UR+ Case
- 27.5%
- UR+ Cases on average
- 0.32
Copies with these pulls
- 1+27.5%
- 2+3.8%
- 3+0.3%
- 4+0%
- 5+0%
- 6 or more0%
Chance of a UR+ Case by pulls
- 10 pulls14.4%
- 30 pulls39.2%
- 60 pulls100%
- 80 pulls100%
- 120 pulls100%
- 160 pulls100%
- 240 pulls100%
From where you are, half of players get a UR+ Case by pull 38 and 90% by pull 51; pull 51 is certain.
How it works out
Pulls since your last UR+ Case carry over from one Case draw banner to the next, so count from your last one even if it came on an older banner.