For Rin Tohsaka's banner

Honkai: Star Rail warp calculator

A Character Event Warp pull is a 5★ 0.6% of the time. From the 74th pull without one, every pull adds 6% to that, and the 90th is always a 5★. Half of them are the featured character, and after one that isn't, the next 5★ always is.

Your odds

Pulls
80
Chance of Rin Tohsaka
51%
Copies of Rin Tohsaka on average
0.54
Chance of any 5★
91.8%

Copies with these pulls

  • 1+51%
  • 2+3.2%
  • 3+0.2%
  • 4+0%
  • 5+0%
  • 6 or more0%

Chance of Rin Tohsaka by pulls

  • 10 pulls3%
  • 30 pulls9%
  • 60 pulls17.7%
  • 80 pulls51%
  • 120 pulls70.5%
  • 160 pulls98.5%
  • 240 pulls100%

From where you are, half of players get Rin Tohsaka by pull 80 and 90% by pull 155; pull 175 is certain. 155 pulls cost 24,800 Stellar Jade.

How it works out

Pulls since your last 5★ carry over from one Character Event Warp banner to the next, so count from your last one even if it came on an older banner. A lost 50/50 carries over the same way: if your last 5★ wasn't the featured character, the next one is, whoever the next banner features.

Light Cone Event Warp work the same way with smaller numbers: 1 pulls an issue, a 5★ weapon 0.8% of the time with no climb, one at the latest every 80 pulls, 75% of them the featured weapon, and pulls always include it.

The banners page lists every banner and who was on it.