For the Isabel rate-up
MAke Drama: MAD summon calculator
A rate-up pull gives the featured partner 2% of the time and any 3-star 3%. Every 10th pull is at least a 2-star, which leaves those odds where they are. Each pull adds 1 mileage, and 200 mileage buys the featured partner outright.
Your odds
- Pulls
- 110
- Chance of Isabel
- 89.2%
- Copies of Isabel on average
- 2.20
- Chance of any 3-star
- 96.5%
- Mileage at the end
- 110 of 200
Chance by pulls, from zero mileage
- 10 pulls18.3%
- 20 pulls33.2%
- 50 pulls63.6%
- 100 pulls86.7%
- 150 pulls95.2%
- 199 pulls98.2%
- 200 pulls100%
Luck alone gets to 50% at 35 pulls and 90% at 114; mileage makes it certain at 200. 200 pulls cost 24,000 Seeds.
How it works out
Every pull is its own roll, so there's no pity building up besides mileage: the chance of seeing her in N pulls is 1 minus 0.98 to the power of N. Mileage is the only guarantee: 200 pulls always get her.
The banners page has the full rate tables and everyone in the pool.